Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.000689 0.000789 0.000894 0.001014 0.001146 0.001287 0.001448
2025-04-13 0.000522 0.000657 0.000810 0.000996 0.001214 0.001459 0.001754
2025-04-20 0.000452 0.000605 0.000788 0.001018 0.001298 0.001624 0.002030
2025-04-27 0.000395 0.000560 0.000765 0.001033 0.001369 0.001772 0.002286
2025-05-04 0.000340 0.000509 0.000727 0.001021 0.001401 0.001868 0.002478
2025-05-11 0.000292 0.000461 0.000687 0.001001 0.001419 0.001944 0.002643
2025-05-18 0.000264 0.000437 0.000674 0.001015 0.001477 0.002069 0.002871
2025-05-25 0.000237 0.000410 0.000656 0.001017 0.001519 0.002173 0.003073
2025-06-01 0.000203 0.000370 0.000616 0.000986 0.001512 0.002211 0.003188
2025-06-08 0.000175 0.000335 0.000579 0.000957 0.001505 0.002247 0.003299
2025-06-15 0.000157 0.000315 0.000562 0.000954 0.001534 0.002330 0.003474
2025-06-22 0.000142 0.000297 0.000547 0.000953 0.001563 0.002414 0.003652
2025-06-29 0.000126 0.000276 0.000527 0.000943 0.001581 0.002484 0.003812
2025-07-06 0.000110 0.000254 0.000503 0.000925 0.001585 0.002533 0.003946
2025-07-13 0.000103 0.000248 0.000503 0.000946 0.001648 0.002668 0.004201
2025-07-20 0.000095 0.000239 0.000500 0.000960 0.001700 0.002786 0.004435
2025-07-27 0.000085 0.000223 0.000482 0.000949 0.001712 0.002848 0.004588
2025-08-03 0.000074 0.000206 0.000461 0.000931 0.001712 0.002889 0.004713
2025-08-10 0.000069 0.000200 0.000458 0.000943 0.001761 0.003005 0.004947
2025-08-17 0.000063 0.000191 0.000450 0.000946 0.001793 0.003096 0.005147
2025-08-24 0.000054 0.000173 0.000424 0.000916 0.001771 0.003104 0.005223
2025-08-31 0.000046 0.000158 0.000401 0.000889 0.001752 0.003113 0.005301
2025-09-07 0.000042 0.000149 0.000391 0.000886 0.001773 0.003187 0.005476